Solana Price at a Crossroads: Will SOL Break $150 or Face a Bearish Reversal?

Solana (SOL)

Solana (SOL) is approaching a crucial moment that could determine whether it breaks past the $150 resistance or succumbs to bearish pressure. With key indicators flashing warning signs, investors are closely watching for the next move in SOL’s price trajectory.

Solana’s Market Sentiment Shows Mixed Signals

While investor optimism remains high, Solana’s network activity tells a different story. The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio recently hit a five-month high, suggesting that while interest in SOL persists, real adoption and engagement on the blockchain are lagging. This imbalance raises concerns about whether the current bullish sentiment is sustainable.

Adding to the mixed outlook, Fidelity’s filing for a spot Solana ETF on the CBOE has sparked renewed enthusiasm. However, this announcement has yet to translate into meaningful network growth, casting doubts on the immediate impact of institutional interest.

Technical Indicators Signal a Potential Downturn

Solana NVT Ratio
Solana NVT Ratio. Source: Glassnode

Solana’s price momentum is at a critical inflection point, with the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) nearing a Death Cross formation. This bearish pattern occurs when the 50-day EMA crosses below the 200-day EMA, signaling the potential end of a prolonged uptrend. If confirmed, this shift could put further downward pressure on SOL, reinforcing the current bearish outlook.

SOL Faces Key Resistance at $148

SOL EMAs.
SOL EMAs. Source: TradingView.

Currently trading around $142, Solana has struggled to break past the critical $148 resistance level. Without securing this price point, SOL remains vulnerable to a pullback. If selling pressure intensifies, SOL could dip to $135, and a further decline could push the price down to $125, erasing recent gains.

SOL Price Analysis.
SOL Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

However, if market sentiment improves and Solana breaks the $148 resistance, the altcoin could target $161, effectively invalidating the bearish thesis. A successful breakout could pave the way for a sustained recovery, offering bullish traders renewed optimism.

Also Read: BlackRock Brings Tokenized Fund BUIDL to Solana

As Solana approaches this pivotal moment, investors should keep a close eye on both technical signals and market developments to gauge the next major move in SOL’s price action.

Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.