- XRP is down 19.2% in November 2026, tying 2018 and trailing only 2019’s -23.6%, against a historical average of +78.3% and a median of -9.1%.
- EGRAG CRYPTO and ChartNerd see the slump as a familiar pattern that could set up a rebound, while Austin Hilton warns of a slide toward $0.90 support.
- Bitcoin is the swing factor: Hilton says a drop below $60,000 could push XRP under $0.90.
XRP is having a rough month. It now trades around $0.99, and data shared by analyst EGRAG CRYPTO shows November 2026 down 19.2% with the month still unfinished. In the records he cited, which go back to 2013, only 2019 was worse, at -23.6%. This year’s drop matches 2018. Analysts agree the damage is real but disagree on what it means.
How Bad Is XRP’s November?
November has a volatile reputation, and the numbers back it up. The historical average return is +78.3%, but the median is -9.1%. That gap suggests a few huge months pull the average up while the typical November loses money. A red November is nothing new, but one this deep is.
Over the past 24 hours, XRP has fallen 5.83%. Across the past month it is down nearly 30%, and the price has hit its lowest point in two years.
The Bullish Case: Fear as a Signal
EGRAG CRYPTO says he is firmly in the bullish camp and expects a big move. His argument is historical: XRP’s worst Novembers have been followed by significant recoveries. He reads the drawdown as confirmation of a setup he has tracked, and he summed it up with “the bigger the fear, the sweeter the comeback.”
Analyst ChartNerd argues this slump was not a shock. XRP’s first positive August in a midterm year was followed by gains of about 2% in July, 30% in August and 7.95% in September. That was reportedly the first time all three months of a quarter closed green. After a run like that, he suggests, a correction was within range. He had also called a dip below $1 twice, and XRP is now at $0.99.
The Cautious Case: Bitcoin Sets the Tone
Crypto commentator Austin Hilton pushes back on the idea that XRP is finished, but he is less upbeat on the short term. He blames broad market pressure rather than anything specific to XRP. Bitcoin has slid to about $62,000 after touching $65,026, and Ethereum, BNB, Zcash and Hyperliquid are down between 13% and 30%.
Hilton names $0.90 as major support and expects XRP to keep sliding toward it. If Bitcoin falls below $60,000, he says, XRP could lose that level too. He cites thin liquidity, weak sentiment, political uncertainty, Federal Reserve policy and inflation as headwinds, and XRP’s social sentiment has turned negative. He also admits he is underwater on some of his own holdings and that no one can pinpoint an exact price.
Hilton says he uses a scanner that tracks the top 500 coins for 10% breakouts with enough volume and market cap. He claims it has found trades returning 20% to 30%, and some above 100%.
Also Read: Bitcoin Slides to $62,000, Its Lowest Since July, as ETF Outflows Mount
What to Watch
Three things matter now: whether $0.90 holds, where Bitcoin goes relative to $60,000, and whether sentiment improves. Whether November ends among XRP’s worst or turns into a rebound is still open, and with weeks left, calling a bottom is guesswork. History is a guide, not a guarantee.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.
