Ripple’s XRP has struggled to maintain bullish momentum despite recent positive developments regarding the SEC lawsuit. The altcoin remains trapped in a Q1 downtrend, currently down 30% from its record high of $3.4. Attempts to surge past $2.5 have been met with resistance, leaving investors uncertain about its next move.
Peter Brandt Predicts a 43% Drop if Key Support Fails
Veteran price chart analyst Peter Brandt has sounded the alarm on XRP’s bearish structure. According to Brandt, XRP has formed a classic head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal signal. If the price drops below $1.9, the pattern could trigger a 43% decline, targeting $1.07.
Updating a chart for those interested
— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) March 26, 2025
I have no vested interest up or down$XRP is forming a textbook H&S pattern.
So, we are now range bound
Above 3.000 I would not want to be short
Below 1.9 I would not want to own it
H&S projects to 1.07
Don't shoot the messenger pic.twitter.com/wdpW9RpU5k
Brandt’s warning was clear: “$XRP is forming a textbook H&S pattern. So, we are now range-bound. Above $3, I would not want to be short. Below $1.9, I would not want to own it. H&S projects to $1.07.”
On-Chain Data Signals Weakness
On-chain metrics reinforce concerns over XRP’s current price trajectory. XRP Ledger’s active addresses have plummeted by 62%—from 74,000 in December to just 28,000 in March—indicating declining network engagement.
Furthermore, Santiment’s MVRV Z-score, which assesses whether an asset is over or undervalued, remains at 2.8. While this is lower than its December peak of 6, it still suggests that many holders are in profit and could sell, adding downside pressure.
Accumulation Suggests Some Bullish Hopes
Despite bearish signals, large investors seem to be accumulating XRP. According to Coinglass, $43 million worth of XRP was withdrawn from exchanges in the past week, with a total of $290 million leaving exchanges in March. This suggests that some investors anticipate a price rebound.
From a technical perspective, XRP remains above the 200-day moving average (DMA), a crucial support level indicating that its broader bullish market structure is intact. However, the $2 and $1.4 levels remain key support zones to watch before Brandt’s bearish target of $1.07 becomes a reality.
Also Read: Crypto Expert Claims XRP’s True Value Exceeds $100 – What’s Holding It Back?
As XRP continues to consolidate, traders should closely monitor whether it can hold above $1.9 or succumb to further downside pressure.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.
I’m a crypto enthusiast with a background in finance. I’m fascinated by the potential of crypto to disrupt traditional financial systems. I’m always on the lookout for new and innovative projects in the space. I believe that crypto has the potential to create a more equitable and inclusive financial system.
