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- Nvidia Q3 revenue expected at $54.9B, EPS $1.25; high expectations create volatility.
- Data center growth driven by Hopper GPUs and Blackwell platform demand.
- Q4 guidance and geopolitical restrictions critical for next-quarter market reaction.
Wall Street is on edge as Nvidia prepares to release its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings after today’s closing bell. With the semiconductor giant once valued at $5 trillion, analysts are closely watching whether Nvidia can meet sky-high expectations in a volatile tech market.
Sky-High Expectations
Analysts forecast Nvidia will report revenue of $54.9 billion, a 57% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share projected at $1.25. Despite these strong figures, Nvidia’s stock has fallen nearly 14.5% from its October all-time high of $212.19, reflecting growing concerns over AI valuation bubbles and the sustainability of massive infrastructure spending. Options markets predict a 7-8% post-earnings swing, potentially moving the company’s market capitalization by $320 billion — the largest volatility in Nvidia’s history.
Investor Skepticism and Market Pressure
High-profile investors have signaled caution. Michael Burry disclosed short positions, raising questions about chip depreciation accounting, while Peter Thiel’s hedge fund sold its $100 million Nvidia stake. SoftBank also divested $5.8 billion in shares to fund its AI ventures. The broader Nasdaq index is down over 4% in November, pressured by fading hopes for a December Fed rate cut and persistent inflation worries.
Crazy Michael Burry just filed is 13F 11 days early.
— It's a Bubble (@itsabubble) November 3, 2025
HE HAS NEVER DONE THIS BEFORE
Massive PUTs (short) on Palantir and Nvidia pic.twitter.com/7LjKqcKIuB
AI Demand Drives Data Center Growth
Data center revenue is expected to reach roughly $49 billion, powered by strong demand for Hopper GPUs and the new Blackwell platform. CEO Jensen Huang highlighted “incredible” interest from hyperscalers and foundation model makers. Despite recent skepticism, analysts remain largely bullish: Stifel has raised its price target to $250, and Wedbush analyst Dan Ives calls Nvidia a “foundational piece” of the AI revolution.
Also Read: Crypto AI Market Surges Past $32B as NVIDIA Rally Sparks Sector-Wide Gains
Investors will pay close attention to Q4 guidance, with analysts expecting around $61.5 billion. Any miss could trigger a sharp selloff. Geopolitical tensions add complexity, with Q3 figures excluding H20 chip sales to China due to export restrictions and new regulations requiring domestic AI chips in state-funded centers.
Nvidia’s Q3 earnings could either reaffirm its AI dominance or shake investor confidence amid bubble concerns. With retail sentiment overwhelmingly bullish, the results will likely set the tone for both the company and broader tech markets in the coming months.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.
I’m a crypto enthusiast with a background in finance. I’m fascinated by the potential of crypto to disrupt traditional financial systems. I’m always on the lookout for new and innovative projects in the space. I believe that crypto has the potential to create a more equitable and inclusive financial system.
