Ethereum Bounce May Be a Risky “Revenge Pump”

Sean Williams
Ethereum

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  • ETH rebounds above $4,100 after the largest crypto liquidation event.
  • Open interest surges 8.2%, signaling renewed leveraged trading.
  • Analysts warn the rebound could fade without real spot demand.

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Ethereum (ETH) is showing signs of recovery after the brutal sell-off on October 11 that wiped nearly $19 billion in liquidations — the largest in crypto history. After briefly dropping below $3,800, ETH has climbed back above $4,100, offering short-term relief to shaken investors.

But behind the surface, analysts warn the rebound may not be as healthy as it appears.

Surge in Open Interest Raises Red Flags

According to Maartunn, an on-chain analyst at CryptoQuant, Ethereum’s open interest jumped 8.2% in just 24 hours, signaling a renewed wave of leveraged trading. “Looks like some of you are trying to trade your money back,” he wrote on X, calling the move a “revenge pump.”

Historically, 75% of leverage-driven rallies tend to fade as quickly as they rise. The pattern often points to speculative traders attempting to recoup losses rather than long-term investors entering the market. Without an uptick in spot buying, such moves typically lack strong support and can reverse sharply.

Leverage May Be Fueling a Fragile Rally

Despite the price recovery, the absence of meaningful inflows suggests futures speculation — not organic demand — is powering ETH’s rise. With open interest climbing but spot volumes flat, analysts say this setup often precedes another round of volatility.

Also Read: Grayscale Transfers $115M in Ethereum: What It Means for ETH Investors

Funding rates and liquidation levels are currently resetting across major exchanges, increasing the risk of another sudden correction if traders get caught overleveraged.

Analysts Urge Caution Amid Volatile Conditions

ETH’s swift rebound may tempt traders to jump back in, but analysts are urging restraint. “Trade carefully,” Maartunn warned, emphasizing that leverage-fueled bounces often end in sharp reversals. Until spot demand strengthens and volatility cools, Ethereum’s recovery remains on shaky ground.

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Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.

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