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- APT has made a new all-time low near $1.14 amid strong bearish momentum.
- Liquidation data suggests a possible bounce toward $1.44–$1.52.
- Sui continues to outperform Aptos in developers, TVL, and price action.
Aptos (APT) is sliding deeper into bearish territory, extending a long-running downtrend that has defined much of 2025. The token dropped another 8.5% in the latest session and printed a fresh all-time low near $1.14, reinforcing concerns that sellers remain firmly in control.
While some traders are eyeing the possibility of a short-term rebound, the broader picture continues to point lower. Weak market structure, persistent capital outflows, and growing competitive pressure from rival layer-1 networks like Sui are weighing heavily on sentiment.
Aptos Remains Locked in a Bearish Structure
On the three-day chart, Aptos has been in a clear bearish swing since losing the $4.32 level in June 2025. That breakdown set the tone for months of lower highs and lower lows.
Another critical level, the 23.6% downside extension around $1.72, was previously tested and then flipped from support into resistance — a classic sign of trend continuation. Since then, price has struggled to sustain even modest recoveries.
The 20-period moving average has tracked closely above price, acting as dynamic resistance and highlighting the strength of the downtrend. Meanwhile, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has stayed below -0.05 for more than two months, signaling sustained capital outflows and limited buyer interest.
Taken together, these signals suggest that downside risk remains elevated.
Sui’s Growing Lead Adds Fundamental Pressure
Beyond technical weakness, Aptos is also losing ground on the fundamental front. Sui, which shares the same Move programming language roots, has pulled ahead in several key metrics.
Sui reportedly maintains roughly double the number of monthly active developers compared to Aptos, along with significantly higher Total Value Locked (TVL). That gap underscores where builders and capital currently prefer to deploy, and it has translated into stronger relative price performance for SUI.
For APT holders, this divergence adds another layer of concern: even if the broader market stabilizes, Aptos may struggle to attract enough ecosystem momentum to stage a durable recovery.
Why a Short-Term Bounce Is Still Possible
Despite the bleak outlook, derivatives data hints at a potential short-lived relief rally. Liquidation maps show a heavier concentration of short-side leverage near current levels than long-side exposure.
This imbalance increases the odds of a push higher as short positions get squeezed. Key retracement zones sit around $1.44 and $1.52, which also align with areas of high-leverage short liquidations.
Also Read: Aptos (APT) Jumps 11%, Eyes $4 Target
Many traders view this zone as a potential “sell-the-bounce” area rather than a sign of trend reversal.
Aptos continues to show few signs of bottoming, with both technical and fundamental factors leaning bearish. While a brief rebound toward the mid-$1.40s or low-$1.50s cannot be ruled out, the dominant trend still favors sellers. For now, any upside appears corrective, not the start of a sustained recovery.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.
I’m your translator between the financial Old World and the new frontier of crypto. After a career demystifying economics and markets, I enjoy elucidating crypto – from investment risks to earth-shaking potential. Let’s explore!
