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Bitcoin (BTC) has surged over 33% since the April 2024 halving, showcasing its resilience amid escalating global trade tensions and economic uncertainty. According to Cointelegraph Markets Pro, Bitcoin’s impressive rally defies traditional expectations, suggesting that institutional investment and Bitcoin ETF inflows are reshaping the halving-driven market cycles.
The 2024 Bitcoin halving cut block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, reducing new coin issuance by 50%—a mechanism designed to reinforce Bitcoin’s scarcity. Traditionally, halvings have led to price peaks more than a year later. However, this cycle appears to be accelerating.
Institutions Disrupt the Four-Year Cycle
Analysts like Enmanuel Cardozo from Brickken point to the growing role of institutional players, including firms like Strategy and Tether, in speeding up Bitcoin’s price action. “The market is more mature now, with greater liquidity,” Cardozo said. “We could see the peak earlier than mid-2026.”
He also noted that an anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut could inject more liquidity into the economy, further pushing Bitcoin prices higher.
Also Read: Bitcoin vs. the Dollar: How Macro Stressors Could Push BTC to $138K
ETFs and Scarcity Fuel Bitcoin’s Momentum
Vugar Usi Zade, COO at Bitget, highlighted how Bitcoin ETFs and institutional accumulation are contributing to an accelerated market cycle. If BTC breaks the $90,000 resistance, it could soon retest its all-time high of over $109,000, reached just 273 days after the 2024 halving—far quicker than in previous cycles.
By contrast, Bitcoin took 546 days post-2021 halving and 518 days post-2017 halving to hit new highs, according to crypto trader Jelle.
So far, each #Bitcoin cycle has lasted longer than the previous one.
— Jelle (@CryptoJelleNL) April 8, 2025
2013 topped 357d post-halving
2017 topped 518d post-halving
2021 topped 546d post-halving
2025's current top was made just 273d post-halving.
Pretty sure the cycle high is yet to come. pic.twitter.com/LYYI8eCQFI
A New Era for Bitcoin?
As scarcity meets surging demand from institutional buyers, Bitcoin’s growth trajectory is now deeply intertwined with traditional finance and global monetary policy. With trade wars and rate cuts looming, BTC’s next move could redefine how halving cycles are understood in a more mature crypto market.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.
I’m your translator between the financial Old World and the new frontier of crypto. After a career demystifying economics and markets, I enjoy elucidating crypto – from investment risks to earth-shaking potential. Let’s explore!
