Bitcoin’s recent downturn has sparked a debate among traders and analysts. While some are predicting a market top, others remain optimistic, projecting a significant rally in 2025. An intriguing theory linking Bitcoin’s potential trajectory to gold’s record-breaking surge suggests that BTC could reach as high as $400,000.
Bitcoin Follows Gold’s Path
Anonymous Bitcoin analyst, apsk32, believes Bitcoin could mirror gold’s trajectory, with BTC targeting $400,000 in 2025. By applying the power law model, normalized against gold’s market cap, the analyst plotted Bitcoin on a logarithmic scale, measuring each Bitcoin in ounces of gold rather than dollars. Historically, Bitcoin has traded within a predictable range, and the analyst suggests that if this pattern holds, Bitcoin could continue its upward trend.
tl;dr
— apsk32 (@apsk32) February 6, 2025
Gold is rising, and Bitcoin will follow.
According to a mathematical model of network growth, Bitcoin could realistically reach $400,000 in 2025.
If you own Bitcoin, hold on.
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Modeling Bitcoin's price in US dollars doesn't make a lot of sense when we know the Federal… pic.twitter.com/9x8aHDqNiS
In line with this, Blockware Solutions, a crypto mining firm, also forecasted Bitcoin’s potential for 2025. Their estimates place a bearish price target around $150,000, with a base case hovering around $225,000. However, Blockware’s more bullish scenario sees Bitcoin reaching up to $400,000, driven by factors like a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve, rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, and increasing corporate adoption.
Bullish Indicators for Bitcoin’s Short-Term Momentum
Although Bitcoin’s price has recently been consolidating between $95,000 and $97,000, market sentiment could shift soon. Analyst ShayanBTC highlighted the Bitcoin taker buy-sell ratio, which has shown a bullish reversal. The 14-day moving average of this metric, following a steep decline, indicates that buyers are regaining strength. Historically, such shifts have led to upward momentum, suggesting that Bitcoin could soon break its current sideways movement.
Also Read: Bitcoin Institutional Demand Surges: Is a Breakout to $100K on the Horizon?
In conclusion, while Bitcoin’s short-term price action remains uncertain, the long-term outlook appears bright. With indicators pointing to increasing buying pressure and a potential gold-like rally, Bitcoin may be poised for significant gains in 2025.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.
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