ZCash (ZEC) Falls 30%: What’s Behind the Price Drop?

Andrew Chen
Zcash

Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...
  • ZCash (ZEC) has fallen below key support levels, indicating potential for further downside.
  • Analysts predict price targets in the $410–$425 and $370–$380 range if ZEC fails to recover.
  • Slowing demand and declining open interest point to market uncertainty around ZCash’s future.

Despite the ongoing recovery of the broader cryptocurrency market, privacy coin ZCash (ZEC) has been struggling to maintain its momentum. After a steep 30% decline over the past week, ZEC is now trading at a significant loss, with prices dropping below the crucial $480 support level. This marks a critical juncture for the privacy-focused cryptocurrency, leaving traders and analysts watching closely for signs of further weakness or a potential recovery.

ZCash price breakdown | Source: Ardi

ZCash’s Support Levels Crumble: What Does It Mean?

ZCash’s recent price action has seen the asset fall below two key support levels: the 50-day simple moving average (SMA-50) and the $480 zone. Crypto analyst Ardi pointed out that this breach could signal the end of the recent bullish trend. The next major level of support is located at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, which previously helped stabilize ZCash’s price during a recent uptrend.

If ZEC continues to close below this level, it could confirm the start of a structural downtrend, opening the door for further losses. In such a scenario, price targets in the $410–$425 and $370–$380 ranges could be in play, signaling a deeper correction for ZCash holders.

Declining Open Interest and Market Sentiment

Another worrying sign for ZCash is the noticeable drop in open interest in ZEC futures. According to CoinGlass, open interest has fallen by over 7% to $977 million in the past few hours. A decrease in open interest often suggests that traders are scaling back their exposure, which typically signals a period of uncertainty or caution in the market.

ZCash open interest declines | Source: CoinGlass

This decline in open interest aligns with the drop in ZCash’s price, further indicating that market participants may be losing confidence in ZEC’s ability to recover. Unless the price reverses course quickly, this could be a sign that the market is bracing for a prolonged downturn.

Slowing Demand for ZCash: A Key Factor in Price Weakness

The surge in demand for ZCash earlier this year, particularly driven by its privacy features, played a significant role in its nearly 1,000% rally between September and October. A notable increase in the number of shielded ZEC tokens held in the Orchard pool contributed to a decrease in circulating supply, helping drive upward price momentum.

However, recent data from ZECHub suggests that demand for ZCash is slowing down. The growth in the Orchard pool, which reached a peak of 4.21 million ZEC tokens on November 4, has plateaued, suggesting that inflows have slowed significantly. Without a resumption in demand, ZCash could face further downward pressure.

Also Read: Zcash (ZEC) Drops 20%, But Reliance Global’s Bet Signals Strong Future

The Road Ahead for ZCash

The road ahead for ZCash is uncertain, with key levels of support being tested and market sentiment showing signs of caution. While the potential launch of exchange-traded products (ETPs) for ZEC, as announced by Grayscale, could offer some long-term optimism, short-term price action suggests that further downside risk remains.

For now, traders will be watching ZEC’s ability to reclaim the $480 level and the potential for renewed demand. Unless these factors materialize, ZCash could be in for a bumpy ride.

Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.

Related Posts