Can XRP Repeat 2017’s 1,610% Surge? Here’s What Analysts Say

Sean Williams
Ripple XRP

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  • XRP’s 21-day EMA remains a crucial support level for long-term projections.
  • Analyst scenarios suggest a rally to either $9.6 or $33 based on past cycles.
  • Short-term outlooks diverge, with some calling for sideways action and others targeting $4+.

XRP is once again at a pivotal point, with analysts split on whether the token’s next move will mirror its explosive 2017 rally or the more tempered surge of 2021. While the cryptocurrency has slipped below the $3 level in recent trading, long-term projections suggest far greater gains could lie ahead.

Long-Term Outlook: Two Potential Scenarios

Crypto analyst EGRAG has highlighted XRP’s recurring relationship with the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), which has historically acted as a launchpad for major price rallies. Drawing from past cycles, he points to two distinct possibilities.

If XRP repeats its 2017 breakout, the token could rally over 1,600% to reach $33. Alternatively, if it follows the 2021 pattern, XRP could see a more modest—but still substantial—gain of about 414%, placing it near $9.6. Both scenarios use $1.9, XRP’s June 2025 low, as a base level.

Currently, XRP trades around $2.84, just below the $3.31 resistance level that marked its 2017 peak. Trading volumes remain high around these retests, underscoring the importance of these price zones in determining XRP’s long-term direction.

Short-Term Trends Show Divergence

In the near term, opinions diverge. Market watcher DustyBC sees little momentum on the four-hour chart, expecting XRP to continue trading sideways. He advises traders to wait for a clear breakout above a buy zone before entering positions.

Meanwhile, analyst Casi Trades sees early signs of upside. She highlights a double-bottom pattern near $2.70, coupled with Fibonacci support at $2.79. If bullish divergence confirms on the four-hour RSI, she expects XRP to target $4.00 and $4.40 in the coming weeks. A break below $2.70, however, could flip the setup bearish.

Balancing Patience and Opportunity

The contrast in outlooks captures XRP’s current crossroads. While long-term charts suggest the possibility of massive gains, short-term traders face uncertainty as the token consolidates. With resistance levels firmly in place, patience may prove just as valuable as optimism for those eyeing the next leg of XRP’s journey.

Also Read: XRP Price Prediction October 2025: Can XRP Break Out From $3 to $5?

Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.

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