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- Analysts see 70% chance of Bitcoin hitting new highs soon.
- $3B in ETF inflows and Fed rate cut fuel bullish momentum.
- Historical cycles suggest a $140K–$150K top by late 2025.
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Bitcoin is edging closer to uncharted territory, with analysts increasingly confident that new all-time highs could arrive within weeks. Market watcher Walter Bloomberg estimates a 70% chance that BTC will surpass its previous record of $124,000 soon, as optimism swells around surging ETF inflows and growing futures activity.
FED Rate Cut and ETF Inflows Fuel Optimism
The Federal Reserve’s first interest rate cut in nine months has injected fresh energy into risk assets, including Bitcoin. The move has pushed BTC toward $117,000, narrowing the gap to its record highs.
Institutional demand is also playing a key role. Bitcoin spot ETFs have absorbed about $3.04 billion in new inflows over the past two weeks alone. This surge signals renewed confidence among big investors, even as September has historically been a weak month for crypto markets. Bloomberg argues this trend points to the early stages of a larger rally rather than the final stretch of the current cycle.
Market Analysts See Two Near-Term Scenarios
Market researcher Axel Adler Jr. sees two likely short-term outcomes for Bitcoin: either a sideways consolidation phase or a steady step-by-step climb. He notes that a decisive close above $117,500 would strengthen the breakout case, reducing the risk of sharp pullbacks.
STH MVRV Z-Scores (155D & 365D) are hovering near zero – the market is neither overheated nor oversold, essentially balanced.
— Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) September 18, 2025
BTC price sits just above STH Realized Price, setting the stage for 1–2 weeks of consolidation with a potential push to ATH.
Uptober incoming 🌊 pic.twitter.com/hFaycSGxRy
This aligns with the broader sentiment that Bitcoin is entering a more stable growth phase, where dips are less severe and price action becomes more orderly.
Also Read: Massive $4.9T Options Expiry Hits This Week — Will Bitcoin Explode or Crash?
History Hints at Higher Peaks Ahead
Long-term patterns also suggest more room to run. Past Bitcoin cycles have peaked roughly 1,064 days after each halving event. With the latest halving in April 2024, historical models place the next major top around late 2025—potentially in the $140,000–$150,000 range.
Momentum is building fast. Between the Fed’s dovish turn, robust ETF inflows, and supportive historical cycles, Bitcoin could soon rewrite its record books. While nothing is guaranteed, the pieces for a major breakout are falling into place.
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Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.
I’m a crypto enthusiast with a background in finance. I’m fascinated by the potential of crypto to disrupt traditional financial systems. I’m always on the lookout for new and innovative projects in the space. I believe that crypto has the potential to create a more equitable and inclusive financial system.
