Toncoin (TON) is catching the attention of investors as indicators point to brewing volatility. Market participants are closely watching the coin’s price movements, anticipating a potential rally. With a shift in holder composition and tightening technical indicators, Toncoin could be on the verge of a breakout that sends prices soaring.
Investor Behavior Shifts – Mid-Term Holders Gain Control
Recent market data highlights a significant shift in Toncoin’s holder base. The supply controlled by short-term holders (STH), who typically hold assets for less than a month, has decreased from 50% to 35% over the past two weeks. Meanwhile, mid-term holders (MTH)—who retain their investments for one to twelve months—have increased their stake to 61%.
This change is seen as a positive sign for Toncoin’s price stability. Short-term holders are more prone to sudden sell-offs, contributing to volatility, whereas mid-term holders are likelier to support a steadier market. The increasing dominance of these holders reflects growing investor confidence in TON’s long-term potential.
Bollinger Bands Signal Imminent Price Movement
Toncoin’s technical indicators suggest that the market is preparing for heightened volatility. The Bollinger Bands—a widely used volatility indicator—are currently tightening around the price, forming what’s known as a “squeeze.” Historically, these squeezes often precede significant price movements.
Given the current low trading volume, even a modest market shift could trigger amplified price swings. If broader cryptocurrency trends remain favorable, Toncoin may capitalize on the squeeze to break resistance and initiate a bullish rally.
Toncoin is trading near $5.19, just below a key resistance level at $5.37. A successful breach of this threshold could trigger a rally toward $6.00. However, for the breakout to hold, TON needs to establish $5.37 as a support level, preventing any reversal that might dampen the momentum.
On the downside, if Toncoin fails to maintain its position above $5.37, a retracement to $4.86 is possible. This would temporarily cool off bullish sentiment, potentially leading to increased selling pressure.
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Major Volatility on the Horizon
With the market structure shifting toward more stable mid-term holders and technical indicators signaling a potential breakout, Toncoin is entering a critical phase. Investors are advised to monitor the $5.37 resistance closely, as a successful breakout could pave the way for significant gains. However, caution is essential—should TON fail to secure support, the bullish narrative could quickly unravel.
As Toncoin gears up for increased volatility, the coming days will be pivotal in determining whether it can ride the bullish wave or face a temporary pullback.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.