Cryptocurrency watchers have their eyes peeled on the world’s biggest Bitcoin wallets, with on-chain data revealing holdings by entities with over 10 BTC reaching levels last seen in 2021, a period marked by a staggering 226% surge in Bitcoin’s market cap. This renewed whale activity has fueled speculation of a potential bull run, but one analyst throws cold water on the idea of an imminent altcoin explosion.
While Bitcoin itself flirts with the $66,000 mark, whispers of a manipulated market linger. Many suspect the now-defunct FTX exchange played a role in suppressing prices during the latter half of 2022. The collapse of FTX in November coincided with a shift in whale behavior, with their holdings seemingly influencing price movements.
However, despite the whale action, Bitcoin struggles to break above the $70,000 resistance level, hinting at a lack of momentum for a significant upswing. This sentiment is echoed by prominent crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen, who cautions against premature excitement for an altcoin bull run.
Cowen argues that a decisive rally in the broader cryptocurrency market hinges on a crucial factor: Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Historically, altcoins have thrived in periods following such cuts. He highlights the decline in the Advance/Decline index, mirroring the trend observed before the Fed’s rate cuts in 2019. This index suggests that anticipation for altcoins surpassing Bitcoin might be misplaced without a shift in the Fed’s monetary policy.
Cowen’s analysis underscores the importance of a data-driven approach in navigating the cryptocurrency market. He advises investors to exercise caution when venturing into altcoins during periods of high Bitcoin dominance.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.