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- SEC may rule on six spot XRP ETF filings in October 2025.
- Pumpius sees ETF-driven inflows of $10–18B sparking a rally.
- Critics doubt XRP can expand from $168B to $3T in one year.
Veteran Bitcoin investor Pumpius has made a bold forecast: if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) clears all pending spot XRP ETFs this October, XRP could climb to $50 by the end of 2025.
At least six issuers—including Bitwise, WisdomTree, 21Shares, Canary Capital, CoinShares, and Franklin Templeton—have active S-1 filings or amendments under SEC review. According to Pumpius, the agency’s current schedule creates a potential “all-green or all-red” decision cluster in late October 2025. Should approvals arrive, ETF launches could begin in Q4, opening the floodgates for institutional demand.
Institutional Inflows Could Strain XRP Supply
Industry analysts project that first-month inflows into spot XRP ETFs could exceed $5 billion. This level of demand could strain XRP’s thin free float, as nearly 35 billion XRP remains in escrow and a large portion of the circulating supply is controlled by exchanges and major holders.
Pumpius warned that this dynamic could trigger “air-pocket” price moves, with sudden demand overwhelming available supply. Such conditions, he argued, mirror the mechanics that drove Bitcoin and Ethereum higher following their ETF approvals.
Infrastructure Already in Place
Institutional groundwork for XRP has quietly advanced in 2025. CME and Coinbase Derivatives both launched regulated XRP futures earlier this year, ensuring compliant liquidity channels for funds and asset managers. Combined with potential ETFs, this framework would enable RIAs, pensions, and treasuries to gain exposure through fully regulated instruments.
Pumpius believes this setup could fuel $10–18 billion in ETF-driven inflows by year-end 2025. He argues such inflows would create a feedback loop—rising prices attract larger inflows, which in turn push prices higher.
Also Read: XRP ETFs Could Smash Records With $5B Inflows—Bigger Than Bitcoin and Ethereum
$50 XRP: Bold Forecast or Wishful Thinking?
At the time of writing, XRP trades at $2.80, meaning a rally to $50 would require a staggering 1,685% increase, expanding its market cap from $168 billion to nearly $3 trillion. Critics of Pumpius’ prediction argue the timeline is too short for such exponential growth.
Still, Pumpius maintains that with ETF approvals, thin liquidity, and strong institutional pipelines, $50 XRP by December 2025 shifts from meme status to a plausible market scenario.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses
