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AAVE ($165.8), one of the leading DeFi lending protocols, has witnessed increased whale activity, raising concerns over a potential price correction. Despite recent gains, large-scale token movements by key players suggest caution for traders.
Whale Transactions Raise Red Flags
Blockchain analytics firm Lookonchain has reported significant sell-offs from two major whale wallets. Address 0xd282 transferred 30,001 AAVE (worth $4.98 million) to FalconX and still retains 37,425 AAVE ($6.33 million), securing a total profit of $11.8 million.
Whales are selling $AAVE!
— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) April 1, 2025
0xd282 deposited 30,001 $AAVE($4.98M) to #FalconX in 2 hours, and currently holds 37,425 $AAVE($6.33M), with a total profit of $11.8M.
0x1AdC deposited 11,018 $AAVE($1.86M) to #OKX at a loss of $293K.https://t.co/CLtq89Y51Hhttps://t.co/ryGShfgiRQ pic.twitter.com/Jnj92ERVjH
Similarly, wallet 0x1AdC moved 11,018 AAVE ($1.86 million) to OKX, incurring a $293,000 loss. These transactions suggest that high-volume traders might be exiting positions or taking profits, potentially exerting downward pressure on AAVE’s price.
However, Kiraverse, a multiplayer game built on Unreal Engine 5, disputed the bearish narrative, claiming that at least one of these transactions was part of a strategic asset redistribution. If accurate, this could alleviate some of the negative sentiment surrounding AAVE’s price action.
AAVE Price Analysis: Resistance and Key Levels to Watch
As of press time, AAVE is trading at $166.29, marking a 7.18% increase over the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. The token faces strong resistance at the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $177.84.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 41.28, indicating a neutral-to-oversold range. A further dip below 40 could signal increased downside pressure. Additionally, AAVE is hovering near the lower Bollinger Band at $157.72, a crucial support level. If this level holds, a bounce toward the mid-band at $174.81 or upper band at $191.90 could be possible.

Conversely, a price drop below $159 could pave the way for further declines toward $128, according to analyst Reed Carson.
$AAVE is still stuck in a downtrend trading inside a descending channel and now if it loses the $159 support level then $128 is the next major zone to watch
— Reed Carson (@reed_carss) March 31, 2025
If buyers step in there we could see a solid bounce making it a potential long opportunity pic.twitter.com/wvbLrRZpZB
AAVE’s Long-Term Strength in DeFi
Despite the short-term uncertainty, AAVE remains a dominant force in the DeFi sector, controlling approximately 65% of the digital asset lending market, per Token Terminal. DeFiLlama data also shows that AAVE’s total value locked (TVL) has consistently hit new all-time highs in ETH terms since December, indicating robust adoption.
Also Read: AAVE Price Analysis: Can a Breakout to $240 Defy the Bearish Trend?
While AAVE may experience short-term price volatility, its long-term potential remains intact. If the $128 support level is tested and buyers step in, it could present a compelling opportunity for traders looking for a rebound.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.
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