Monero (XMR) Surge Faces Resistance: Will Investor Confidence Drive a Breakout?

Monero (XMR)

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  • Monero saw a significant uptick in community sentiment and buying activity, with $1.87 million in positive net flow.
  • Despite recent gains, Monero is testing a descending resistance trendline that has rejected price attempts three times.
  • While the CMF suggests buying pressure, the A/D indicator shows cooling interest, which could signal a potential pullback.

Monero (XMR) has experienced a strong resurgence recently, with a 14% gain in the past 24 hours, as investor sentiment and liquidity in the market show signs of improvement. However, despite the optimism, key technical hurdles suggest that Monero’s rally may be short-lived unless specific conditions are met.

Investor Confidence and Liquidity Surge

Monero has seen a significant boost in investor confidence, reflected in the recent rise in community sentiment from 67.5% to 74%. This positive shift indicates that investors are more willing to take on risk, especially in privacy-focused tokens like Monero. This optimism has translated into increased buying activity, with CoinGlass data revealing a $1.87 million positive net flow during the past 48 hours. Furthermore, over the past week, Monero accumulated $4.68 million—its second-largest weekly accumulation on record. These figures suggest that demand for the token is increasing, which could support a potential price increase if momentum continues.

XMR spot chart
Source: CoinGlass

Technical Challenges: Resistance and Price Rejection

Despite the surge in investor confidence, XMR faces significant technical challenges. The token is currently grappling with a descending resistance trendline, which has previously rejected price attempts three times. As of press time, Monero’s price hovers around $394.25, near the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement level. While this could provide short-term support, the real test lies in breaking through the descending resistance trendline. If Monero struggles to overcome this hurdle, further price rejections are likely, limiting any upside potential.

XMR price chart
Source: TradingView

Indicators Signal Mixed Momentum

While bullish indicators such as the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) remain positive—indicating that buying pressure outweighs selling—the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator tells a different story. The A/D trend has cooled down recently, with many investors taking a wait-and-see approach rather than actively purchasing XMR at current levels. A rebound in the A/D indicator could signal that investors are ready to push through resistance, but if both the CMF and A/D indicators trend downward together, XMR may fail to sustain its rally, potentially moving toward lower support zones.

Monero’s recent performance highlights both growing investor interest and significant technical barriers. While the current buying pressure and liquidity boost could support further gains, the path ahead remains uncertain. Without a decisive breakout from the current resistance level, Monero may face further consolidation or a pullback to lower support zones.

Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.

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