Cardano’s promising start to 2024, which saw ADA surge from $0.46 to $0.80 in the first quarter, has been followed by a prolonged decline. This reversal of fortune has left investors wondering whether ADA can recapture its early-year momentum or revisit its 2022 price levels.
A significant hurdle to ADA’s price recovery lies in the substantial supply wall at $1.04, where over 1 million addresses hold more than 2 billion ADA tokens. The Global In/Out of Money (GIOM) metric confirms this concentration of holdings, indicating formidable resistance to upward price movement.
While shorter-term targets around $0.66 appear within reach, breaking through the $1.04 level presents a substantial challenge.
The Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA) indicator offers additional insights into ADA’s market dynamics. The 90-day MDIA shows a consistent upward trend, suggesting that long-term holders are holding onto their positions rather than actively trading. This stagnation in investor activity typically makes sustained price appreciation more difficult to achieve.
Also Read: Cardano Struggles – Over 2 Billion ADA At $1.04 Creates Massive Resistance, Price Stuck At $0.37
Technical analysis of ADA’s daily chart reveals a concerning head-and-shoulders pattern, traditionally interpreted as a bearish reversal signal. Currently trading at $0.37, Cardano faces immediate resistance that could trigger a decline towards $0.32 if current market conditions persist.
Cardano’s longer-term prospects remain tied to broader market conditions, particularly Bitcoin’s performance. A BTC breakthrough above $70,000 could catalyze an ADA rally towards $0.61, with potential for further gains if Bitcoin establishes new all-time highs.
However, the current supply wall and market stagnation pose significant challenges to ADA’s price recovery. Investors should carefully monitor these factors and consider the potential impact of broader market trends on Cardano’s future performance.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.
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