Avalanche (AVAX) experienced a significant price surge in March 2024, peaking at $65. However, by November, the altcoin faced a period of correction, dropping below $20 at one point. Recently, AVAX hinted at a potential recovery, but technical indicators suggest the ongoing rally could be short-lived.
In November 2024, AVAX found support around $23 and broke above a falling channel, pushing the price back up to $55 by December 4. Yet, this rally was short-lived, and the price recently retreated to around $35, raising concerns about its ability to sustain upward momentum.
Technical Indicators: Bullish or Bearish?
One of the key indicators signaling trouble for AVAX is the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The daily chart reveals that the 20 EMA (blue) and 50 EMA (yellow) are positioned above the price, suggesting a bearish trend. In EMA analysis, when the short-term EMA is above the long-term EMA, it’s often considered a “death cross,” signaling a potential downtrend.
Despite the recent uptick in AVAX’s price, the positioning of these EMAs indicates that the token could face further downward pressure unless the bullish momentum strengthens.
Negative Market Sentiment
Another red flag for AVAX is the Negative Weighted Sentiment. This sentiment metric gauges the market’s overall mood based on social media volume and remarks. Currently, the sentiment surrounding AVAX remains pessimistic, suggesting that market participants are not optimistic about the altcoin’s future. Negative sentiment typically leads to lower demand, which can further suppress price movements.
Price Prediction: Retracement Ahead?
AVAX is currently facing resistance near the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level at $37.65. The last time AVAX approached this level, it faced rejection, and the price plummeted to $32.62. Unless buying pressure increases, AVAX may struggle to break through this resistance and could retrace to lower levels, potentially falling below $30.
Also Read: Avalanche (AVAX) Price Faces Strong Resistance: Bearish Trend and Key Support Levels to Watch
However, if AVAX successfully overcomes this hurdle, the rally could extend toward the $50 mark, signaling a potential recovery. For now, investors should remain cautious as the outlook remains uncertain.
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.
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