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Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX, recently weighed in on the potential impact of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs on the global economy. While tariffs may cause some economic disruption, Hayes argues that this very turbulence could fuel Bitcoin’s (BTC) next major rally.
In a post on April 3, Hayes expressed his belief that the global imbalances triggered by tariffs will eventually be “corrected” with printed money, which would benefit Bitcoin. As Hayes put it, “the pain papered over with printed money is good for BTC.”
Some of y'all are running scurred, but I LOVE TARIFFS, some chart porn to understand why.
— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) April 4, 2025
Global imbalances will be corrected, and the pain papered over with printed money, which is good for $BTC. pic.twitter.com/jc5eZ2VIEa
Hayes’ comments come after the Trump administration announced a sweeping 10% tariff on all countries, starting April 5. Some nations will face even steeper tariffs, including China (34%), the European Union (20%), and Japan (24%). Hayes sees these tariffs as catalysts for a weakening U.S. dollar, which in turn could drive investors toward Bitcoin as an alternative asset.
One of the main drivers behind Hayes’ bullish outlook for Bitcoin is the weakening of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Hayes points to a sell-off in U.S. stocks as overseas investors move their capital home. This, combined with the largest single-day point loss for the Nasdaq 100 on April 3, could pave the way for a surge in BTC and gold prices in the medium term.
WOW.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 3, 2025
Today marked the largest single-day point loss for the Nasdaq 100 in HISTORY.
The index lost a total of -1060 points and came just 1.5% away from triggering the first circuit breaker since March 2020.
Buckle up folks. https://t.co/zswsMk9mlQ pic.twitter.com/FeVLOO2Swp
Hayes also highlights how China’s response to U.S. tariffs—such as allowing its currency, the yuan (CNY), to weaken—could make Bitcoin a more attractive asset for Chinese investors looking to preserve wealth.
Further amplifying his stance, Hayes suggests that the Federal Reserve may respond to the economic strain by easing monetary policy and cutting interest rates, a move that typically boosts liquidity and fuels interest in riskier assets like Bitcoin.
Overall, Hayes sees Bitcoin’s future tied to the global economic shifts caused by Trump’s tariffs, and many experts, including Jeff Park from Bitwise Invest, share his view that these changes could lead to Bitcoin soaring higher in the coming months.
This is the only thing you need to read about tariffs to understand Bitcoin for 2025. This is undoubtedly my highest conviction macro trade for the year: Plaza Accord 2.0 is coming.
— Jeff Park (@dgt10011) February 2, 2025
Bookmark this and revisit as the financial war unravels sending Bitcoin violently higher. pic.twitter.com/WxMB36Yv8o
Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses.
I’m your translator between the financial Old World and the new frontier of crypto. After a career demystifying economics and markets, I enjoy elucidating crypto – from investment risks to earth-shaking potential. Let’s explore!
