BTC Inflows Drop, Breakout Ahead?

Bitcoin (BTC)

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Key Takeaways:

  • Bitcoin whale inflows to exchanges are at multi-year lows, signaling strong holder confidence.
  • Low selling pressure and rising liquidations suggest Bitcoin is primed for a potential breakout.

Bitcoin’s price action is looking like a coiled spring—tight, controlled, and primed for release. While BTC steadily inches upward, the real story lies beneath the surface. Whales and retail investors aren’t rushing to cash out. On the contrary, they’re holding firm, with Bitcoin exchange inflows falling to multi-year lows. Could this be the calm before an explosive move to new all-time highs?

Whales Show Confidence Amid Slow Climb

Exchange data from CryptoQuant reveals that whale and retail BTC inflows into Binance are at their lowest since 2024. The takeaway? Large holders seem confident. Unlike March—when Bitcoin hit $80,000 and inflows spiked, triggering a sharp correction—there’s no sign of panic this time. Instead, whales appear to be sitting on their coins, showing patience rather than fear.

This low-exchange activity signals belief in Bitcoin’s long-term value. When BTC is locked away in wallets instead of trading platforms, selling pressure diminishes. With less supply on exchanges, the potential for a price surge increases. Currently, Bitcoin has climbed 1.4%, hovering just below $107,000. Ethereum (ETH) rose 3.8% to $2,625, while the global crypto market cap edged up 1.6% to $3.33 trillion.

Bitcoin Price Chart - CMC Data
Source: CMC Data

Liquidations Hint at Rising Momentum

Adding to the bullish signals, liquidations have spiked. Over $262 million in crypto positions were wiped out in the past 24 hours—$30 million from Bitcoin alone and $52 million from Ethereum. These forced exits typically occur when the market makes sudden moves. The current wave of liquidations suggests that even minor pushes could trigger larger market shifts.

Meanwhile, broader trends show increasing demand for self-sovereignty. The growing popularity of no-KYC (Know Your Customer) crypto casinos reflects a broader desire for privacy and control—values that also resonate deeply with Bitcoin’s ethos.

Geopolitical Risks, but Long-Term Optimism Prevails

Potential risks remain. Escalating tensions in the Middle East could rattle global markets. Rising oil prices could drive inflation higher, which traditionally weighs on risk assets like Bitcoin. In the short term, a dip remains possible.

Also Read: XRP Struggles for Direction as Investor Interest Drops — Can Bitcoin’s Rally Spark a Breakout?

Yet, the behavior of whales and retail investors suggests a longer-term outlook. Rather than chasing quick gains, they’re positioning for future growth. With strong hands dominating the market and fewer coins available for sale, the groundwork for a breakout looks firm.

Bitcoin may not skyrocket overnight, but its steady climb—powered by conviction, not hype—signals that a new all-time high might be closer than many expect.

Disclaimer: The information in this article is for general purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The author’s views are personal and may not reflect the views of Chain Affairs. Before making any investment decisions, you should always conduct your own research. Chain Affairs is not responsible for any financial losses